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CDC HIV/AIDS/Viral Hepatitis/STD/TB Prevention News Update

African Apocalypse


Time (07/06/92) Vol. 140, No. 1, P. 21

Although the AIDS cases in Africa could actually begin to decrease, it would only be a result of the dramatic rise in deaths from AIDS, according to British scientists. Parts of Africa like Uganda, Rwanda, Malawi, and Tanzania in Central and East Africa would feel the largest impact. The researchers indicated that Uganda will have a population of 20 million within 15 years, in comparison to 24 million if the epidemic never occurred. While the predictions are much more severe than those released by the World Health Organization and the Harvard School of Public Health, they cannot be overlooked. The researchers, Roy Anderson of the Imperial College of Science and Technology in London and Robert May of Oxford are highly respected individuals. But there are valid doubts concerning the study; for instance, it estimates a higher level of sexual contact between older HIV-positive men and younger women than may actually happen. However, some public health officials fear the study could influence African governments in abandoning much-needed family-planning programs.


Copyright © 1992 -CDC Prevention News Update, Publisher. All rights reserved to Information, Inc., Bethesda, MD. The CDC National Center for HIV, STD and TB Prevention provides the following information as a public service only. Providing synopses of key scientific articles and lay media reports on HIV/AIDS, other sexually transmitted diseases and tuberculosis does not constitute CDC endorsement. This daily update also includes information from CDC and other government agencies, such as background on Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report (MMWR) articles, fact sheets, press releases and announcements. Reproduction of this text is encouraged; however, copies may not be sold, and the CDC HIV/STD/TB Prevention News Update should be cited as the source of the information. Contact the sources of the articles abstracted below for full texts of the articles.

Information in this article was accurate in July 6, 1992. The state of the art may have changed since the publication date. This material is designed to support, not replace, the relationship that exists between you and your doctor. Always discuss treatment options with a doctor who specializes in treating HIV.