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AIDS Research and Therapy

Clinical, demographic and laboratory parameters at HAART initiation associated with decreased post-HAART survival in a U.S. military prospective HIV cohort

1Division of Epidemiology and Community Health, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA;
2Division of Biostatistics, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA;
3Infectious Disease Clinical Research Program, Uniformed Services University of Health Sciences, Bethesda, MD, USA;
4Infectious Disease, Naval Medical Center San Diego, San Diego, CA, USA;
5Infectious Disease, National Naval Medical Center, Bethesda, MD, USA;
6Infectious Disease Service, San Antonio Military Medical Center, San Antonio, TX, USA;
7National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, USA



AIDS Research and Therapy 2012 Feb 10, 9:4 doi:10.1186/1742-6405-9-4






 

Background

Although highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) has improved HIV survival, some patients receiving therapy are still dying. This analysis was conducted to identify factors associated with increased risk of post-HAART mortality.

Methods

We evaluated baseline (prior to HAART initiation) clinical, demographic and laboratory factors (including CD4+ count and HIV RNA level) for associations with subsequent mortality in 1,600 patients who began HAART in a prospective observational cohort of HIV-infected U.S. military personnel.

Results

Cumulative mortality was 5%, 10% and 18% at 4, 8 and 12 years post-HAART. Mortality was highest (6.23 deaths/100 person-years [PY]) in those with ≤ 50 CD4+ cells/mm3 before HAART initiation, and became progressively lower as CD4+ counts increased (0.70/100 PY with ≥ 500 CD4+ cells/mm3). In multivariate analysis, factors significantly (p < 0.05) associated with post-HAART mortality included: increasing age among those ≥ 40 years (Hazard ratio [HR] = 1.32 per 5 year increase), clinical AIDS events before HAART (HR = 1.93), ≤ 50 CD4+ cells/mm3 (vs. CD4+ ≥ 500, HR = 2.97), greater HIV RNA level (HR = 1.36 per one log10 increase), hepatitis C antibody or chronic hepatitis B (HR = 1.96), and HIV diagnosis before 1996 (HR = 2.44). Baseline CD4+ = 51-200 cells (HR = 1.74, p = 0.06), and hemoglobin < 12 gm/dL for women or < 13.5 for men (HR = 1.36, p = 0.07) were borderline significant.

Conclusions

Although treatment has improved HIV survival, defining those at greatest risk for death after HAART initiation, including demographic, clinical and laboratory correlates of poorer prognoses, can help identify a subset of patients for whom more intensive monitoring, counseling, and care interventions may improve clinical outcomes and post-HAART survival.

Keywords:

Highly active antiretroviral therapy; mortality; CD4+ lymphocyte count

*Corresponding authors: Alan R Lifson lifso001@umn.edu - Brian K Agan bagan@idcrp.org

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© 2012 Lifson et al; licensee BioMed Central Ltd.

This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.





 


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Information in this article was accurate in February 10, 2012. The state of the art may have changed since the publication date. This material is designed to support, not replace, the relationship that exists between you and your doctor. Always discuss treatment options with a doctor who specializes in treating HIV.