Int Conf AIDS. 1996 Jul 7-12;11(1):180 (abstract no. Mo.D.1731). Unique
Background Many aspects of sexual behaviour are relevant for the risk of
acquiring a sexually transmitted disease (STD). Both the frequency of
intercourse and the frequency of partner change are likely to play a
role, but their distributions are not independent. This work aims to
evaluate their joint contribution to the risk of chlamydia and HIV using
a new concept, the individual risk index.Methods The basic reproductive
ratio, R0, for an STD in a population can be defined from average
intercourse and partner frequencies in the population, and from the
duration and infectiousness of the disease. We calculate an individual
risk index by entering a persons intercourse and partner frequencies
into the R0 formula, and define as potentially riskful those behaviours
that lead to index values greater than one for a given infection. The
index was analysed on 10915 subjects aged 18 to 52 years from two
surveys on sexual behaviour conducted in 1987 and 1992, using HIV and
chlamydial infection as examples.Results The distribution of the index
depends on the joint distribution of intercourse and partner frequency.
The potential risk groups for HIV and chlamydia overlapped only partly,
1.9% were potential risk takers for both infections, 0.9% for HIV only
and 3.3% for chlamydial infection only. Sexual behaviour differed
strikingly between the groups. For the HIV only group, the mean values
for intercourses and new partners per year were 200 and 0.6,
respectively. For the chlamydia only group these values were 37 and 2.4
per year. Potential risk taking was 15 times higher among singles
compared to married/cohabiting subjects, and decreased from 1987 to -92
for both infections.Conclusions A new STD risk index may be defined
based on the R0 concept. The index has a meaningful interpretation, and
can be used to characterise risk groups and compare populations.
*Chlamydia Infections/TRANSMISSION *Sexually Transmitted
Diseases/TRANSMISSION
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