16th International AIDS Conference


Toronto, Canada - August 13 - 18, 2006


PROGRESSION OF HIV-RELATED DISEASE OR DEATH (POD) IN THE RANDOMISED SMART STUDY: WHY WAS THE RISK OF POD GREATER IN THE CD4-GUIDED ((RE)-INITIATE ART AT CD4 <250 CELLS/μL) DRUG CONSERVATION (DC) VS THE VIROLOGICAL SUPPRESSION (VS) ARM?

Int Conf AIDS. 2006 Aug 13-18;16 Abstract No. WeAb0203

Lundgren J.D., on behalf of the SMART Study Group
Hvidovre University Hospital/University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen HIV Programme (044), Hvidovre, Denmark


BACKGROUND: SMART(n=5472) demonstrated a 2.5-fold greater risk of POD in the DC- vs VS-arm. Factors associated with this finding are reported here.

METHODS: POD event (n=164) rates were calculated based on the proximal CD4 cell and HIV-RNA (VL) levels. Cox models assessed whether these levels affected the difference between arms in risk of POD and determined independent risk factors for POD in each arm.

RESULTS: The median (IQR) of the proximal CD4 cell count prior to diagnosis of PODs was 333 cells/μL (246 – 488) and 512 (328 – 651) in the DC- and VS-arms, respectively. The rate of POD was higher for lower strata of proximal CD4 counts and for higher strata of VL levels in both arms, but higher in DC- vs VS-arm for CD4>350 and VL<3.5.


Per design, in the DC-arm, more time was spent with lower CD4 and higher VL levels. Risk of POD in the DC-arm was associated with lower proximal CD4 counts and older age; higher proximal VL levels and older age predicted risk in VS-arm. The hazard ratio (DC/VS) for POD was reduced from 2.5 (p<0.001) to 1.4 (p=0.12) after adjustment for proximal CD4 and VL levels. Patients in DC-arm (re)-initiated ART at protocol-specified CD4 levels (232 cells/μL (192 – 299)), and achieved good CD4/VL responses (e.g. median time to VL <400 copies/mL = 3 months; 142 CD4-cell/μL increase after 8 months); POD rates were similar for three 4-month intervals following ART initiation: 5.1, 5.3, and 5.7/100 PY.

CONCLUSIONS: Intended differences in proximal CD4 and VL levels between the arms of the study explains a substantial part of the difference in the risk of POD between the DC and VS arms. Additional analyses on predictors of POD will be presented.

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2006-08-13
WeAb0203


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